Why Experts Are Projecting Miami Heat to Pose Legitimate Threat in 2016 - Heat Nation
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Why Experts Are Projecting Miami Heat to Pose Legitimate Threat in 2016

Why Experts Are Projecting Miami Heat to Be Contenders in 2016

There’s been a whole lot of hype in the NBA universe regarding the potential of the Miami Heat in 2015-16. Coming off a year in which the team underproduced and missed the playoffs for the first time since 2008, expectations are considerably higher for this year’s revamped squad. So realistically, how good can this team be?

Here’s what experts and analysts around the league are saying:

Last month, Jared Doyle of Rant Sports published his 5 Way-Too-Early Predictions for the Miami Heat and the bullet points are as follows:

5. Dwyane Wade Will Be One Of NBA’s Most Efficient Guards

4. Hassan Whiteside Will Become An Eastern Conference All-Star

3. Second-Best Record In The East

2. Justise Winslow Will Become A Top Tier 6th Man

1. Goran Dragic Will Finally Make His First All-Star Appearance

Each of these predictions are well within the realm of possibility…

  • To start, Wade has already been one of the most efficient guards of the last five years, maintaining an average field goal percentage of just over 50%. Last season, he finished with a Player Efficiency Rating of 21.44, second amongst shooting guards behind only MVP contender James Harden. As his athleticism and health have taken a bit of a hit since the early years, Wade’s efficiency and shot selection have only improved.
  • As for Whiteside, he had his coming out party last year and all signs point to him improving this year. He will have plenty of room to work below the rim as Chris Bosh will spread the floor and open things up for the 7-footer.
  • Second best record in the East. Why not? Las Vegas has the Heat as the third most likely team to win the Eastern Conference.

Magic Johnson agrees:

Some are lumping the Chicago Bulls in the ECF race as well, but they may wind up having more trouble than success. With Derrick Rose’s health being a constant concern, Pau Gasol getting up there in age and Joakim Noah coming off his worst statistical season in years, it may be hard for them to live up to expectations. Time will tell, but currently the Heat have a strong chance to face you-know-who and the Cleveland Cavaliers in the Eastern Conference Finals come May.

  • Can Winslow really be a top-tier sixth man right off the bat? It wouldn’t come as a surprise. The kid is a stud, plain and simple. His ability to slash to the rim, accompanied by his defensive prowess and all-around athleticism (not to mention his high basketball IQ) has him looking like a seasoned vet already. He’s shown flashes of brilliance in the preseason and will likely improve game-to-game throughout his rookie campaign.
  • The Dragic prediction may just be the safest bet of all. He’s working with the best starting five he’s ever had around him. Watch him and Bosh run the pick-and-pop to perfection all season long.

On paper, the Heat have one of the most impressive rosters in the league, but there’s a reason they play the games.

Zach Buckley of Bleacher Report has Miami as the biggest wild card of the 2015-16 season due in large part to an impressive roster, but also factoring in that this starting five has never played together and the bench is full of fresh faces that will likely endure a considerable adjustment period. He does, however, go on to mention the fact that four of the Heat’s five starters possess a PER of at least 17.4, which ranks them in the top 70 amongst players who play at least 20 minutes per game. Luol Deng is the odd man out with a PER of 15.5, but that’s still an above average mark. Deng also recently promised to be more consistent this season, which may or may not count for something.

It’s not all about the starting five, though. This is one of the deepest Miami teams in recent years. The Heat have guys like Gerald GreenJosh McRobertsMario Chalmers and Amar’e Stoudemire coming off the bench; all of whom would have a legitimate shot at starting on other squads.

Those within the league like what they’re seeing from the Heat, too.

A recent poll taken by NBA GMs have the Heat finishing fourth in the Eastern Conference. They lauded the Heat’s stellar offseason, having voted Justise Winslow as “the biggest steal of the draft,” and Amar’e Stoudemire received a vote for the “most underrated free agent acquisition.”

For what it’s worth, even LeBron James considers Miami to be a legitimate threat.

“I think Miami is doing some great things,” he said in a recent radio interview with Bleacher Report. “They drafted the kid out of Duke, Justise (Winslow). I think he’s gonna be a really good player. They added some big pieces. The re-signing of Dragic and C.B. coming back and getting D. Wade back. They’re going to be a contender.”

Miami’s first game of the season tips off October 28th, versus the Charlotte Hornets. Questions will begin to be answered by then. Look for the Heat to come out of the gates swinging as they are dead set on making a statement this year.

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